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You want to know who will win the men’s NCAA team title? (Women's Release)

 

We’ll tell you right now!

 

The Process:
- Ranked the top 8 athlete’s PBs (indoors/outdoors combined)
- Converted all altitude marks
- Converted indoor flat track marks
- Ignored wind-aided marks
- Included marks done unattached, out of season, or for another school/high school/club
- For 4x4 relays used best 2015 team mark

- For DMRs projected the anchor leg each team will enter and ranked the team’s based on the anchor’s 1500/mile PB
 

Before You Cry Wolf:
Of course the results of the 2015 championships will not be the exact order of all the athlete’s PBs. Some events athletes will over achieve and in other events the athletes will under achieve. The purpose of using PBs is to find an average to work off of that will result in seeing the true potential of each team’s scoring depth. This exercise is all about discovering the teams with the best scoring potential, it is not about predicting the outcome of specific races.

 

Why not just score the meet using 2015 marks?

Elite athletes are notorious for running the regular season just to qualify. Most of the time we never see athletes show their true potential until championship meets. For example, Oregon’s Edward Cheserek ran 7:49 in the 3k early this season. Since running the 3k 5 people have run faster than him. However, there is no need for Cheserek to re-run the 3k just to be ranked higher. For athletes, a time that is 1st or 16th is the same. 2015 marks don’t do a good job of representing athlete’s true potential.

 

NOTE: This process was used during the 2014 indoor/outdoor championship team projections and was very successful.

 

Men’s Top 10 Projected Team Scores (Pre-Meet):
01) 69.5 Florida
02) 65.0 Oregon
03) 43.0 Arkansas
04) 40.0 Texas A&M
05) 23.0 Georgia
06) 20.5 LSU
07) 20.0 Oklahoma State
08) 19.6 Nebraska
09) 18.6 Texas Tech
10) 16.0 Penn State
10) 16.0 Virginia Tech

Again reminder these are not our predictions for individual events just a tool to calculate a team score projection.

60	John Teeters	JR	Oklahoma State	6.52	10.00
60	Trayvon Bromell	SO	Baylor	6.54	8.00
60	Jalen Miller	SO	Mississippi	6.55	6.00
60	Tevin Hester	JR	Clemson	6.56	4.00
60	Kendal Williams	FR	Florida State	6.56	4.00
60	Cameron Burrell	SO	Houston	6.56	4.00
60	Markesh Woodson	JR	Missouri	6.58	1.00
60	Ronnie Baker	JR	TCU	6.58	1.00
60	Christian Coleman	FR	Tennessee	6.58	1.00

200	Dedric Dukes	SR	Florida	19.97	10.00
200	Aaron Ernest	SR	LSU	20.14	8.00
200	Trentavis Friday	FR	Florida State	20.33	6.00
200	Shavez Hart	SR	Texas A&M	20.35	5.00
200	Andre De Grasse	JR	USC	20.38	4.00
200	Brendon Rodney	JR	LIU Brooklyn	20.41	3.00
200	Ncincilili Titi	FR	South Carolina	20.48	1.50
200	Bryce Robinson	JR	Tulsa	20.48	1.50

400	Deon Lendore	SR	Texas A&M	44.36	10.00
400	Arman Hall	JR	Florida	44.82	8.00
400	Vernon Norwood	SR	LSU	45.02	6.00
400	Bralon Taplin	SR	Texas A&M	45.18	5.00
400	Hugh Graham, Jr	SR	Florida	45.19	4.00
400	Najee Glass	JR	Florida	45.34	3.00
400	Michael Cherry	SO	Florida State	45.37	2.00
400	Christopher Giesting	SR	Notre Dame	45.53	1.00

800	Brandon McBride	JR	Miss State	1:45.35	10.00
800	Edward Kemboi	SR	Iowa State	1:45.98	8.00
800	Ryan Schnulle	JR	Florida	1:46.29	6.00
800	Andres Arroyo	SO	Florida	1:46.78	5.00
800	Dylan Capwell	SO	Monmouth	1:46.82	4.00
800	Alex Amankwah	JR	Alabama	1:46.86	3.00
800	Jesse Garn	SR	Binghamton	1:46.98	2.00
800	Tre'tez Kinnaird	SO	Indiana	1:47.13	1.00

1609	Edward Cheserek	SO	Oregon	3:53.60	10.00
1609	Cristian Soratos	SR	Montana State	3:55.27	8.00
1609	Anthony Rotich	SR	UTEP	3:55.86	6.00
1609	Brannon Kidder	JR	Penn State	3:56.11	5.00
1609	Sam Penzenstadler	SR	Loyola (Ill.)	3:57.13	4.00
1609	Julian Oakley	JR	Providence	3:57.22	3.00
1609	Patrick Joseph	FR	Virginia Tech	3:57.44	1.50
1609	Chad Noelle	JR	Oklahoma State	3:57.44	1.50

3000	Eric Jenkins	SR	Oregon	7:44.91	10.00
3000	Will Geoghegan	SR	Oregon	7:45.71	8.00
3000	Kemoy Campbell	SR	Arkansas	7:46.95	6.00
3000	Edward Cheserek	SO	Oregon	7:47.20	5.00
3000	Jeramy Elkaim	JR	Oregon	7:48.48	4.00
3000	Colby Gilbert	FR	Washington	7:49.25	3.00
3000	Stanley Kebenei	SR	Arkansas	7:49.74	2.00
3000	Robby Creese	SR	Penn State	7:50.36	1.00

5000	Eric Jenkins	SR	Oregon	13:18.57	10.00
5000	Parker Stinson	SR	Oregon	13:28.46	8.00
5000	Kemoy Campbell	SR	Arkansas	13:32.82	6.00
5000	Thomas Curtin	JR	Virginia Tech	13:38.56	5.00
5000	Morgan Pearson	JR	Colorado	13:38.92	4.00
5000	Pierce Murphy	JR	Colorado	13:39.29	3.00
5000	Craig Lutz	JR	Texas	13:40.30	2.00
5000	Mark Parrish	SR	Florida	13:41.87	1.00

4x4	-	-	Texas A&M	3:03.23	10.00
4x4	-	-	Florida	3:04.22	8.00
4x4	-	-	LSU	3:04.28	6.00
4x4	-	-	Nebraska	3:06.02	5.00
4x4	-	-	Alabama	3:06.05	3.50
4x4	-	-	TCU	3:06.05	3.50
4x4	-	-	Texas	3:06.76	2.00
4x4	-	-	Arkansas	3:06.98	1.00

60H	Omar McLeod	SO	Arkansas	7.49	10.00
60H	Oladapo Akinmoladun	JR	Nebraska	7.61	8.00
60H	Donovan Robertson	SO	Ohio State	7.65	6.00
60H	Chris Caldwell	JR	Texas Tech	7.68	5.00
60H	Isaac Williams	JR	Houston	7.72	3.00
60H	Sebastian Barth	SR	No. Iowa	7.72	3.00
60H	Dondre Echols	JR	South Carolina	7.72	3.00
60H	William Taylor	SR	Arizona State	7.73	0.50
60H	Joshua Thompson	SR	LSU	7.73	0.50

DMR	Edward Cheserek	-	Oregon	3:53.60	10.00
DMR	Jordan Williamsz	-	Villanova	3:53.86	8.00
DMR	Robby Creese	-	Penn State	3:57.11	6.00
DMR	Patrick Joseph	-	Virginia Tech	3:57.44	4.50
DMR	Chad Noelle	-	Oklahoma State	3:57.44	4.50
DMR	Amos Bartelsmeyer	-	Georgetown	3:58.45	3.00
DMR	Sean McGorty	-	Stanford	3:59.34	2.00
DMR	Nate McClafferty	-	Duke	3:59.95	1.00

HEP	Maicel Uibo	JR	Georgia	6044	10.00
HEP	Garrett Scantling	JR	Georgia	6036	8.00
HEP	Mike Morgan	JR	Buffalo	5797	6.00
HEP	Luca Wieland	SO	Minnesota	5787	5.00
HEP	Scott Filip	SO	Rice	5785	4.00
HEP	Marcus Nilsson	SR	UCLA	5760	3.00
HEP	Tim Ehrhardt	SO	Michigan State	5741	2.00
HEP	Wolf Mahler	SO	Texas	5717	1.00

HJ	Bryan McBride	SR	Arizona State	2.28m	6.60
HJ	Christoff Bryan	FR	Kansas State	2.28m	6.60
HJ	Wally Ellenson	SO	Marquette	2.28m	6.60
HJ	James White	SR	Nebraska	2.28m	6.60
HJ	Jacorian Duffield	SR	Texas Tech	2.28m	6.60
HJ	Bradley Adkins	JR	Texas Tech	2.25m	3.00
HJ	DJ Smith	SR	Auburn	2.24m	1.00
HJ	Avion Jones	JR	E. Carolina	2.24m	1.00
HJ	Deante Kemper	SR	No. Arizona	2.24m	1.00

LJ	Jarrion Lawson	JR	Arkansas	8.39m	10.00
LJ	Marquis Dendy	SR	Florida	8.28m	8.00
LJ	Roelf Pienaar	SO	Arkansas State	7.97m	6.00
LJ	Jonathan Addison	JR	NC State	7.88m	5.00
LJ	Aaron George	SO	Texas State	7.87m	4.00
LJ	Keniel Grant	SO	Texas Tech	7.86m	3.00
LJ	Cameron Hudson	JR	Alabama	7.84m	1.50
LJ	KeAndre Bates	FR	Florida	7.84m	1.50

PV	Shawn Barber	JR	Akron	5.90m	10.00
PV	Andrew Irwin	SR	Arkansas	5.75m	8.00
PV	Jake Blankenship	JR	Tennessee	5.70m	6.00
PV	Michael Woepse	SR	UCLA	5.62m	5.00
PV	Jax Thoirs	JR	Washington	5.61m	4.00
PV	Chris Pillow	SR	Rice	5.60m	3.00
PV	Chase Wolfle	JR	Texas A&M	5.56m	2.00
PV	Joey Uhle	SR	Air Force	5.55m	1.00

SP	Ryan Crouser	JR	Texas	21.39m	10.00
SP	Stephen Mozia	SR	Cornell	20.79m	8.00
SP	Jonathan Jones	SR	Buffalo	20.75m	6.00
SP	Stipe Zunic	SR	Florida	20.68m	5.00
SP	Darrell Hill	SR	Penn State	20.57m	4.00
SP	Nick Vena	SR	Georgia	20.39m	3.00
SP	Ashinia Miller	JR	Georgia	20.31m	2.00
SP	Kole Weldon	SR	Texas Tech	20.11m	1.00

TJ	Marquis Dendy	SR	Florida	17.23m	10.00
TJ	Latario Collie	JR	Texas A&M	16.91m	8.00
TJ	Donald Scott	SR	E. Michigan	16.70m	6.00
TJ	Manuel Ziegler	SR	Virginia Tech	16.61m	5.00
TJ	Ben Williams	JR	Louisville	16.55m	4.00
TJ	Jonathan Gardner	SR	Georgia Tech	16.45m	3.00
TJ	Matthew Oneal	JR	South Florida	16.43m	2.00
TJ	Phillip Young	SR	Mississippi	16.30m	1.00

WT	Michael Lihrman	SR	Wisconsin	25.58m	10.00
WT	Chuk Enekwechi	JR	Purdue	24.39m	8.00
WT	Conor McCullough	SR	USC	23.60m	6.00
WT	Cameron Brown	JR	Tennessee	23.38m	5.00
WT	Nick Miller	SR	Oklahoma State	23.07m	4.00
WT	Jordan Young	SO	Virginia	22.92m	3.00
WT	Matthias Tayala	JR	Kent State	22.90m	2.00
WT	Antonio James	SR	Michigan State	22.74m	1.00