Here's How Adams State, North Central & Others Would Fare At The DI Level

We added DII teams and the 2018 DIII Champions to the DI results, and here's how the virtual championship race played out using our formula.

Nov 28, 2018 by Gordon Mack

Here's How Adams State, North Central & Others Would Fare At The DI Level

One of the biggest ‘what ifs’ in NCAA cross country is how the best Division II and III programs would perform in a Division I championship race, so we decided to conduct a little experiment using our limited reference data points based on 2018 season results.

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For DII, we compared the defending national champion Adams State men’s and women’s 2018 Stanford Invitational results versus DI athletes who competed at that meet and this year’s NCAA DI Championships. And for DIII, we compared the North Central (Ill.) men’s performances at the 2018 Louisville Classic and the Washington U. women’s performances at the 2018 Loyola Lakefront Invitational.

Note: For comparing results, we generated a rating for the DII/DIII athletes based on their performances against the DI athletes. This rating was similar to the rating formula for our regular season Top-255 rankings.

2018 Louisville Classic DI Men vs. North Central (Ill.)

Ben Varghese (East Tenn. St.), Ben Kendell (Detroit Mercy), Jacob McLeod (Belmont), Aaron Bienenfeld (Cincinnati), Kaleb McLeod (Belmont), Antonie Senard (Eastern Kentucky)

2018 Stanford Invitational DI Men vs. Adams State

Alek Parsons (Stanford), Alex Ostberg (Stanford), D.J. Principe (Stanford), Tai Dinger (Stanford), Meika Beaudoin-Rousseau (Stanford), Michael Vernau (Stanford)

2018 Stanford Invitational DI Women vs. Adams State

Elise Cranny (Stanford), Katie Rainsberger (Washington), Fiona O’Keeffe (Stanford), Jessica Lawson (Stanford), Erika Adler (UCLA), Miranda Daschian (Cal Poly), Emily Hamlin (Washington), Allie Schadler (Washington), Rebecca Story (Stanford), Katie Izzo (Cal Poly), Jordan Oakes (Stanford), Julia Heymach (Stanford), Catherine Pagano (Stanford), Shona McCulloch (Washington)

2018 Loyola Lakefront Invitational DI Women vs. Washington U.

Gillian Wagner (Princeton), Addi Zerrenner (Arizona), Lindsey Brewis (Loyola Ill.), Melia Chittenden (Princeton), Allie Klimkiewicz (Princeton), Alie Fordyce (Princeton), Madison Offstein (Princeton), Sophie Cantine (Princeton)

After removing the bottom two DI teams from the 2018 results and adding the No. 1-ranked DII team and the 2018 DIII champions, here's how the results played out based on our rating formula.

Reminder: This is based off the DII/DIII team’s September performances, so athletes on these teams who did better in November are not accounted for since they had no reference points for those performances.

Men’s Championship Virtual Result:

TEAM SCORE	ATHLETE	YR	SCHOOL
27	Gidabuday, Sydney	SR	Adams State
54	Gedyon, Elias	SR	Adams State
86	Villar, Miguel	FR	Adams State
113	Joseph, Joshua	JR	Adams State
128	Adams, Kale	JR	Adams State
165	Dominguez, Danny	JR	Adams State
169	Robb, Paddy	SO	Adams State
116	Patel, Dhruvil	SR	North Central (Ill.)
170	Norvell, Matthew	SR	North Central (Ill.)
177	Osmulski, Matt	JR	North Central (Ill.)
182	Baldonado, Al	SR	North Central (Ill.)
186	McKenna, Nolan	SR	North Central (Ill.)
191	Hird, Zach	SR	North Central (Ill.)
192	Buechner, Chris	SR	North Central (Ill.)

PL	TEAM	SCORE
1	Northern Arizona	83
2	BYU	118
3	Portland	162
4	Colorado	183
5	Stanford	205
6	Washington	219
7	Iowa State	226
8	Wisconsin	248
9	Colorado St.	315
10	Boise State	350
11	North Carolina St.	351
12	Wyoming	382
13	Oklahoma State	385
14	Adams State	408
15	Notre Dame	414
16	Oregon	419
17	Eastern Kentucky	444
18	Ole Miss	446
19	Indiana	477
20	Michigan	496
21	Air Force	511
22	Southern Utah	537
23	Princeton	570
24	Villanova	595
25	Bradley	598
26	Arkansas	617
27	Syracuse	617
28	Texas	645
29	Iona	651
30	Purdue	719
31	North Central (Ill.)	831

Women’s Championship Virtual Result:

TEAM SCORE	ATHLETE	YR	SCHOOL
31	Flanagan, Eilish	JR	Adams State
57	Cotter, Stephanie	FR	Adams State
77	Bogina, Kaylee	JR	Adams State
79	Flanagan, Roisin	JR	Adams State
128	Meuwissen, Piper	FR	Adams State
145	Hunter-Galvan, HaLeigh	JR	Adams State
165	Christensen, Tiffany	JR	Adams State
101	Lawler, Paige	JR	Washington U.
149	Wayne, Aly	SR	Washington U.
191	Watterson, Sophie	JR	Washington U.
198	McGinn, Gabby	FR	Washington U.
205	Gorham, Lisa	SR	Washington U.
209	Girmscheid, Megan	SO	Washington U.
213	Shepherd, Molly	SR	Washington U.

PL	TEAM	SCORE
1	Colorado	65
2	New Mexico	105
3	Oregon	163
4	Michigan	218
5	Stanford	241
6	Boise State	299
7	BYU	321
8	Notre Dame	322
9	Washington	332
10	Wisconsin	339
11	Portland	351
12	Michigan State	352
13	Adams State	372
14	North Carolina St.	377
15	Arkansas	411
16	Iowa State	414
17	Florida	471
18	Indiana	472
19	Columbia	485
20	Oklahoma State	499
21	Penn State	501
22	Princeton	506
23	Ole Miss	526
24	Furman	534
25	Villanova	568
26	Southern Utah	585
27	Florida State	598
28	Oregon State	616
29	Georgia Tech	672
30	Minnesota	681
31	Washington U.	844

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Here's How Adams State, North Central & Others Would Fare At The DI Level

Here's How Adams State, North Central & Others Would Fare At The DI Level

We added DII teams and the 2018 DIII Champions to the DI results, and here's how the virtual championship race played out using our formula.

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Men’s Championship Virtual Result:

Women’s Championship Virtual Result: